Dancing with the Dragon

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The People's Republic of China poses the most dangerous as well as least manageable military threat the United States faces early in the twenty-first century. During the year 2000, China's leaders proclaimed in a white paper, "The One-China Principle," that if the Taiwan authorities do not agree on a peaceful settlement of reunification through negotiations, Beijing would be compelled to use military force to bring Taipei into compliance.

The Taiwan Relations Act, public law 96-8, April 10, 1979, stipulates that an assault on the island of Taiwan will be countered by the armed forces of the United States of America. Invading Taiwan is tantamount to invading the United States.

In a confrontation between the United States and China, Beijing would need only local military superiority in the narrow confines of the Taiwan Strait to counterbalance American capability. Short of striking the Chinese mainland, there is no guarantee that U.S. forces would prevail in such a scenario.

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